Trust Gap Assessment · V2.1 · March 2026 · CoE
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Serbia

Structural · Relational · Trust Gap · Fragile State

Structural Score
49.7
Critical
Relational Score
38.2
Fragile
Trust Gap
+11.5
pts
Quadrant
Fragile State
Serbia scores 49.7 (Critical) on the Trust Gap Structural Index and 38.2 (Fragile) on the Relational Index, producing a Trust Gap of +11.5 points. The country is classified in the Fragile State quadrant of the Trust Gap framework. Weak institutions and low public trust. Systemic challenges across both pillars. The Structural score of 49.7 reflects governance effectiveness, political stability, rule of law, and economic mobility. The Relational score of 38.2 reflects citizen trust in government, social cohesion, media health, and civic participation. The positive Trust Gap of +11.5 points indicates institutional performance materially exceeds the level of public trust — a pattern associated with democratic disengagement risk.
Framework: The Trust Gap V2.1 · Data year: 2025/26 · Sources: World Bank WGI · WJP Rule of Law Index · Transparency International CPI · Edelman Trust Barometer · Reuters Digital News Report · V-Dem · IDEA · Bertelsmann Transformation Index · WEF Global Competitiveness Report · OECD

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