Trust Gap Assessment · V2.1 · March 2026 · EU · CoE
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Latvia

Structural · Relational · Trust Gap · Efficient But Distant

⚠ Migration risk active — Trust Gap exceeds 20 points
Structural Score
71.0
Strong
Relational Score
48.7
Critical
Trust Gap
+22.3
Migration risk
Quadrant
Efficient But Distant
Latvia scores 71.0 (Strong) on the Trust Gap Structural Index and 48.7 (Critical) on the Relational Index, producing a Trust Gap of +22.3 points. The country is classified in the Efficient But Distant quadrant of the Trust Gap framework. Strong institutions but public trust has not kept pace. Migration risk if the gap widens. A migration risk flag is active — the Trust Gap exceeds 20 points, placing Latvia at risk of quadrant migration if current trends continue. The Structural score of 71.0 reflects governance effectiveness, political stability, rule of law, and economic mobility. The Relational score of 48.7 reflects citizen trust in government, social cohesion, media health, and civic participation. The positive Trust Gap of +22.3 points indicates institutional performance materially exceeds the level of public trust — a pattern associated with democratic disengagement risk.
Framework: The Trust Gap V2.1 · Data year: 2025/26 · Sources: World Bank WGI · WJP Rule of Law Index · Transparency International CPI · Edelman Trust Barometer · Reuters Digital News Report · V-Dem · IDEA · Bertelsmann Transformation Index · WEF Global Competitiveness Report · OECD

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