Trust Gap Assessment · V2.1 · March 2026 · BRICS+ · Africa
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Ethiopia

Structural · Relational · Trust Gap · Fragile State

Structural Score
34.3
Fragile
Relational Score
26.0
Fragile
Trust Gap
+8.3
pts
Quadrant
Fragile State
Ethiopia scores 34.3 (Fragile) on the Trust Gap Structural Index and 26.0 (Fragile) on the Relational Index, producing a Trust Gap of +8.3 points. The country is classified in the Fragile State quadrant of the Trust Gap framework. Weak institutions and low public trust. Systemic challenges across both pillars. The Structural score of 34.3 reflects governance effectiveness, political stability, rule of law, and economic mobility. The Relational score of 26.0 reflects citizen trust in government, social cohesion, media health, and civic participation. The positive Trust Gap of +8.3 points indicates institutional performance materially exceeds the level of public trust — a pattern associated with democratic disengagement risk.
Framework: The Trust Gap V2.1 · Data year: 2025/26 · Sources: World Bank WGI · WJP Rule of Law Index · Transparency International CPI · Edelman Trust Barometer · Reuters Digital News Report · V-Dem · IDEA · Bertelsmann Transformation Index · WEF Global Competitiveness Report · OECD

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